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Saturday, March 30, 2013

Govt. overestimates future economic growth.

There are reasons to expect  the US economy to grow more slowly in the future than it has in the past. It  doesn't seem to be growing at an exponential rate,  which means its yearly % growth will go down over time.

Unfortunately government entities often perform estimates of future tax revenue, debt  and spending ( e.g. of social security and medicare)  based on   unrealistically optimistic  hopes for how fast our economy will grow.   Private retirement plans are often made assuming future percentage returns on investment will match past returns, which may not be the case for those who invest only in the US.

Supporting details on on this new site page here. 

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